Background

Histology can provide insight into the biology of renal allograft loss. However, studies are lacking that use quantitative morphometry to simultaneously assess changes in mean glomerular volume and in the percentages of globally sclerosed glomeruli (GSG) and ischemic-appearing glomeruli in surveillance biopsies over time to determine whether such changes are correlated with late graft failure.

Methods

We used digital scans of surveillance biopsies (at implantation and at 1 and 5 years after transplantation) to morphometrically quantify glomerular volume and the percentages of GSG and ischemic-appearing glomeruli in a cohort of 835 kidney transplants. Cox proportional hazards models assessed the risk of allograft failure with these three glomerular features.

Results

From implantation to 5 years, mean glomerular volume increased by nearly 30% (from 2.8×106 to 3.6×106 µm3), mean percentage of GSG increased from 3.2% to 13.2%, and mean percentage of ischemic-appearing glomeruli increased from 0.8% to 9.5%. Higher percentages of GSG and ischemic-appearing glomeruli at 5-year biopsy predicted allograft loss. The three glomerular features at 5-year biopsy were related; the percentage of GSG and the percentage of ischemic glomeruli were positively correlated, and both were inversely correlated to glomerular volume. At 5 years, only 5.3% of biopsies had ≥40% ischemic glomeruli, but 45% of these grafts failed (versus 11.6% for

Conclusions

Glomerular changes reflect important pathologic processes that predict graft loss. Measuring glomerular changes quantitatively on surveillance biopsies, especially the proportion of ischemic-appearing glomeruli, may enhance the current Banff system and be a useful surrogate end point for clinical intervention trials.

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